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NATO also supports inter-alliance peace between Turkey and Greece, thereby sustaining a delicate balance to prevent the Aegean dispute from turning into a military confrontation. In terms of alliance dependence, Turkey would not put the peace and deterrence provided by NATO at risk in a volatile neighborhood. Without elaborating, Erdogan has said Turkey will do what is necessary as a NATO member in the event of a Russian invasion. In July of 2019against the wishes of the United States and other NATO membersTurkey purchased the S-4000 surface-to-air missile from Russia, the target country of NATOs ire. Read: The Trump administration doesnt care about allies. Since Sunday, however, the dynamic seems to have shifted, and Trumpwho has been sharply critical of the NATO alliance himself, and who has touted his administrations achievements against ISISopted to take a NATO partners side over the Kurdish forces who did so much to help defeat the Islamic State. And because Swedens bid for NATO membership is being blocked by Turkey and Hungary, the country is hesitant to deplete its defences. After the United States, Turkey has the second-largest standing armed forces in NATO, with more soldiers (639,000 military, paramilitary and civilian personnel), tanks (3,200), armored fighting vehicles (9,500), artillery (2,400) and military aircraft (1,067 fighter jets, attack helicopters and transports) than Germany, France or the United Kingdom. All the arguments share three intersections: having closer relations with Russia, thereby making Turkey more autonomous vis--vis NATO; using this as a bargaining chip; and/or making the purchase for domestic purposes. Take the S-400 anti-ballistic missile procurement issue: It seems that Turkey will not abandon its plans to buy them from Russia and deploy them. At the outset of NATOs founding, a suspension or expulsion clause was excluded due to the fact that it would cast doubt upon the future of member nations, particularly on whether they would remain democratic or become communist, which could have limited the alliances membership. As NATO turns focus to China, embracing Turkey becomes challenge (2021). Hey, European Union, pull yourself together, he said in a speech yesterday. The two accused each other of risking the alliance via developing an affinity with each others adversaries, Russia and the Syrian KurdishYPG (Peoples Protection Units), respectively. Results of recent local elections and the rerun of the Istanbul mayoral elections have turned attention to domestic politics in Turkey. This article explains why Turkey cant be a leader in the region. Turkey did have an ally on its side there. At the time, President Harry Truman offered membership to both as a way to contain Communist expansionGreeces Western-backed government had just defeated Communist forces in a civil war. Some 50 B-61 nuclear bombs are bunkered at Incirlik Air Force Base, controlled by U.S. personnel stationed there. A second person with knowledge of the Turkish governments thinking told Breaking Defense that, if Erdogen retains power, he would want to see movements from Sweden on counter-terorirsm efforts before releasing his hold. "This is not some minor dustup with this country," he said. Turkey-NATO ties are problematic, but there is one bright spot (2021). Nevertheless, among these hostilities, Turkey has been left relatively unscathed by its NATO allies. Turkey and NATO: Resolving the S-400 Spat (2020). Stiftung Wissenschaft undPolitik, 2019. President Erdoan may risk the detrimental effects of US sanctions to create a rallying effect and thereby attempt to prevent possible adversaries from gaining momentum. The government may go to Vilnius with an official pledge which says it would approve Swedens application as soon as possible, Ulgen told Breaking Defense. Once again, as Erdoan sees it, some of his allies are siding with the terrorists. The only explanation left for the purchase is the possibility that President Tayyip Erdoan may be seeking a domestic rally effect via a confrontation with the United States to prevent possible challengers to his leadership from gaining momentum. As a In an interview with NATO Review in 2012 marking 60 years of Turkey being in NATO, thenTurkish Defense Minister Ismet Yilmaz said that in joining the alliance, Additionally, the Eastern Mediterranean Security and Energy Partnership Act, a piece of bipartisan legislation, was introduced and advanced in the US Congress. Turkey also is an unsinkable aircraft carrier, with 98 airports capable of supporting NATO air operations over the Middle East, Black Sea and the Balkans. Significantly, even Turkeys controversial invasion But there are people in [the U.S. government] for whom Turkey is sacrosanct and all of its problemsbusting U.S. sanctions, holding Americans hostage, threatening other NATO allies like Greece, supporting jihadists, buying Russian weapons, not to mention internal oppression and ongoing purges are our fault. Turkeys geographic location and strong military makes it the anchor of NATOs southern flank against Russian aggression. It is of great importance for us to continue by strengthening Turkey-Russia relations every day." Turkey has along-term policy of participating in the international organizations that Greece joins in order to maintain parity. Lets not say Westernuniversal values, which are democracy, human rights, and core values of human rights based on the rule of law. Turkey was even negotiating for membership in the European Union. Washingtons foreign policy elites are so fixated on recent Kurdish contributions to defeating the Islamic State (ISIS) that they seem to have forgotten Turkeys much longer record as an ally of the U.S. and NATO: Turkeys membership in NATO quelled the long cycle of conflicts and wars with Greece, also a NATO member. RT @ragipsoylu: 1- How Swedens NATO membership hangs in the balance in a Turkish election? Instead, it will generate a dual dependency characterized by vulnerability to Russia and an increased need for assurances from NATO. Public opposition in Turkey may bring limitations to future collaboration even those based on mutual interest between Ankara and other NATO allies. Turkey remains as indispensable member of NATO for 69 years (2021). NATO allies are regarded as unreliable due to their perceived support of the July 15, 2016, coup attempt that targeted President Erdoan, whereas Russia swiftly declared its support for Erdoan. From Trumps inauguration to the present, however, the United States has shown itself ready to levy punitive measures in negotiations with Turkey. But a closer look suggests deeper waters. Geographically, Turkey occupies some of the most strategically important territory in the world. There is optimism in NATo circles that after the election, things may change. Turkish contributions to and participations in NATO activities should be better promoted in the Western media. NOVEMBER-DECEMBER LD & PF COURSE REGISTRATION, To do so, please follow these instructions, NATO-TURKEY: AN AMBIGUOUS RELATIONSHIP IN AN UNPREDICTABLE SECURITY DOMAIN, Turkey and NATO: Resolving the S-400 Spat, Turkey and Nato are no longer aligned, even if they wont admit it, Turkeys Response to the Russia-Ukraine Crisis, TURKEYS NATO MEMBERSHIP IS AN ASSET FOR BOTH TURKEY AND THE ALLIANCE, Turkey remains as indispensable member of NATO for 69 years, As NATO turns focus to China, embracing Turkey becomes challenge, Turkey-NATO ties are problematic, but there is one bright spo, Turkey and NATO: A Relationship Worth Saving, TURKEYS CRISIS WITH THE WEST: HOW A NEW LOW IN RELATIONS RISKS PARALYZING NATO, US, NATO have strong interest in keeping Turkey close, says Blinken, Turkey Urges Russia to Drop One-Sided NATO Demands, Turkey could tip the balance in the Ukraine-Russia standoff. His professional career has consisted of diverse experiences in law and lobbyist firms, both in the United States and Ireland. Unfortunately, Turkey under President Erdogan is abandoning secularism and democratic norms, becoming an Islamist authoritarian state, and pulling away from the U.S. and NATO. . Here are some top contenders, Group identifies dozens of news sites created by AI chatbots: report, The Clash of Civilizations and the Remaking of World Order, EMP Manhattan Project: Organizing For Survival Against An Electromagnetic Pulse Catastrophe, To compete with China, the US must embrace multilateral diplomacy, Federal anti-China sentiment is increasingly seeping into state laws, Want a sensible democracy? As a NATO member, Turkey can rely on deterrence that discourages regional adversaries from engaging in a full-scale military campaign against Turkey. Turkeys utility as a NATO member is one of many reasons the organization has been reluctant to distance itself. Resolved: On balance, Turkeys membership is beneficial to the Turkey Turkey controls the flow of Middle Eastern refugees into European NATO, a crucial role whereby a friendly Turkey can help stabilize its neighbors or an unfriendly Turkey could unleash a human flood into Europe. The strikes left 34 people injured, including three children, and caused widespread damage. Turkeys Interventionism and Expanse of Influence. S-400s could be an important bargaining chip to reach concessions on these three major disagreements, especially considering the strong reactions of the United States to Turkeys previous deal attempt for Chinese missiles. Even among NATO allies themselves, Turkey has fanned the flames of conflict, with Erdogan becoming more and more aggressive in the Mediterranean. This deterrence is no less important than having particular weapons, such as S-400s. This is certainly not one-way relationship. The United States has not only threatened Turkey with the introduction of CAATSA (Countering Americas Adversaries Through Sanctions Act) sanctions, which aim to halt Russian defense sales, but also to terminate Turkeys participation in the F35 advanced fighter aircraft program. Turkey has also paid back the alliance as a stalwart member, honoring its obligations by contributing to missions in Kosovo and Afghanistan and hosting NATOs Land Command. (Carnegie Europe), The NATO-Turkey Relationship: Envisioning Future Prospects Amidst Growing Rifts (Perry World House), Repairing the rift with Turkey (Brookings), Turkey-NATO ties are problematic, but there is one bright spot (Middle East Institute), Turkey and NATO: A Relationship Worth Saving (CSIS), US-Turkey relations will remain crisis-ridden for a long time to come (Brookings), With Turkey, the Problem Is NATO Membership, Not Armenia (Cato Institute), Arms Control and the Threat Environment (NATO and the future of arms control), A European Option Is Not a Real-World Choice (Strengthening European Deterrence and Defense), The European Union's Turkish Neighbor: Can't Live with It, and Can't Live without It (Institute for National Security Studies), Introduction (Fire and Ice: The Russian-Turkish partnership), Introduction (Turkey-Greece: From Maritime Brinkmanship to Dialogue), Turkey, NATO, And a Shifting World: What recent years, and recent weeks, have told (National Review), Turkey Aims to Play Stabilizing Role in Afghanistan after NATO Withdrawal (Institute for the Study of War). Turkish Aggression Is NATOs Elephant in the Room (2020). The views expressed in this article are the writer's own. Neither side has anything to win by undermining this value. In a phone call with the Turkish defense minister yesterday, U.S. Defense Secretary Mark Esper said the incursion risks serious consequences for Turkey, according to the Pentagons readout. Natalie Armbruster is a research associate at Defense Priorities. These weapons are not like Bolshevik rifles used in Turkeys Independence War after World War One. In 2020, Turkey disregarded a U.N.-enforced arms embargo around Libya and responded with hostility when confronted by French patrols. Turkeys membership in NATO quelled the long cycle of conflicts and wars with Greece, also a NATO member. NATO Unless alliance dependence ceases, the tensions between Turkey and other NATO members serve to advance inter-alliance bargaining and do not necessarily signify alliance termination. Domestic concerns related to foreign policy are also voiced by analysts close to the government. Rather, NATO is an important asset for Turkey, even in developing its relations with Russia, as membership eases the threat of domination by Moscow. Turkey oDemocracy: Turkey doesnt have fair & free electionsin fact, theres been large political purges aimed at cleansing the ranks. The title is self-explanatory. Seeking more autonomy in the international arena and making sovereign decisions concerning weapon purchases unite people behind Erdoan. Turkeys purchase of a Russian S-400 air defense missile system has raised questions concerning Turkeys alliance with the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) andthe countrys future intentions. Friend or Foe? Turkeys Future with the North Atlantic Treaty No one can deny these existing problems. Erdogan even has threatened to develop nuclear weapons, which justifies withdrawing U.S. tactical nuclear weapons from Turkey. my very long-winded 2-hour lecture on YouTube. This article describes difficulties that Turkey has caused the West but also argues Turkish membership in NATO should continue. (Theres actually no clear legislative way to do thisthe NATO charter doesnt contemplate kicking out members, though members can leave on their own, as Greece did over its dispute with Turkey.) In an interview with NATO Review in 2012 marking 60 years of Turkey being in NATO, thenTurkish Defense Minister Ismet Yilmaz said that in joining the alliance, Turkey had made its direction, and its security, the same as the Wests. He went on: This was not a decision Turkey took only in 1952. Earlier this year, Turkey continued to aggravate NATO members by publicly backing Azerbaijans assault into the Armenian-dominated Nagorno-Karabakh region, sparking a war with Russian-backed Armenia. About 10 years ago, you couldnt swing a dead cat in Washington and not hit somebody who wouldnt say, Oh, Turkeys a great ally Now everyones mad at Turkey, Cook said. There are three scenarios in play: Erdogen wins, Erdogen loses, or a split government, each with its own likely impact on the Sweden question. However, the purchase ofS400s will not bring about the desired outcomes. If NATO were to remove Turkey from its ranks, it could solidify the Alliances goals and standards for membership, and possibly dissuade Erdogan from acting with impunity on the world stage. Separately, at the United Nations Security Council, the NATO allies France, Germany, the United Kingdom, Belgium, and Poland introduced a statement condemning Turkeys incursion into Syria. The punitive measures that the United States announced in response to Turkeys S400 deal are unprecedented in postCold War bilateral relations. To view this content, you need to have JavaScript enabled in your browser. There are scores of news reports in the Western media and commentaries released by Western think tanks questioning Turkeys place in the alliance. Resolved: On balance, Turkeys membership is beneficial to the North Atlantic Treaty Organization. This act would extensively favor the Greek side within the TurkeyGreece balance in the Mediterranean, as it suggests lifting the arms embargo on Cyprus and deepening security cooperation with Greece. PF: Feb 2022 Topic: Turkey & NATO : Debate - Reddit Should Turkey be part of NATO? - LinkedIn Sign up and get Breaking Defense news in your inbox. It is wrong to believe that when Turkey receives the S400s it will simultaneously receive total control over them. Erdogan also asked the Nordic countries to drop their formal and informal arms embargo against Turkey. 1998 - 2023 Nexstar Media Inc. | All Rights Reserved. WebWeigh this round on whether or not Turkeys membership in NATO provides for the Common Defense of the group because as NATO finds: NATOs essential and enduring purpose is to safeguard the freedom and security of NATO was formed to support European nations who wanted to counter the influence and might of Moscow and provide a unified defense against the now dissolved Soviet Union. For example, if Turkey relinquishes control of the S-400 missiles, NATO countries could offer to work with Ankara on supporting Ukraine, peacefully resolving the conflicts in the South Caucasus, and minimizing Russias role in Libya and Syria. Russia did not reverse all sanctions after the apology, as a reminder of their displeasure. Finland was a bit of collateral, the issues with Sweden are real.. THE HILL 1625 K STREET, NW SUITE 900 WASHINGTON DC 20006 | 202-628-8500 TEL | 202-628-8503 FAX. Turkey WebNato's secretary general warns the risk of conflict is real and President Biden says that Russia will move in. If the Alliance believes that Erdogan will exploit NATO to achieve his own expansionist goals, then NATO should suspend or expel Turkey to ensure the integrity of the organization. Turkey and the United States are engaged in a high-level debate concerning the ramifications of the deal on the NATO alliance. Alliances are not meant to be treated as sacred bonds of a covenant. But Erdogan unexpectedly blocked the NATO bids, demanding steps against dozens of suspects that Ankara links to outlawed Kurdish militants and a failed 2016 coup attempt. During his undergraduate studies, he completed a certificate in Emergency Management and Homeland Security with a focus on studies in Terrorism. From NATOs perspective, Turkeys departure from the alliance and the possibility of Ankara becoming an adversary would be a significant setback. Resolved: On balance, Turkeys membership is beneficial to the North Atlantic Treaty Organization. It will be a positive progress [if] Sweden will become a member of NATO.. The U.S. should adjust its A Turkey that acts in unison with Russia in the Black Sea and the Mediterranean would be strategically disadvantageous for NATO. Thus, other than the termination of the need for these indispensable security benefits or the existence of a better alternative, a divergence in policy preferences among allies even a major divergence may not be a sufficient reason to end an alliance. Chapin LibGuides: Debate: this month's topic : turkey and nato On balance, Turkeys membership is beneficial to the North 30 Apr 2023 10:34:27 Ironically, given the alliances Cold War roots, America joined with Russia and declined to endorse it. Scan this QR code to download the app now. It has been hosting the NATO land command in zmir and strategically important radar systems in Krecik, has been allowing allies to use its highly strategic ncirlik and Konya bases for NATO operations, and has been actively fighting against jihadist terror in the Middle East. Zachary Walsh is a M.A. But it should be much more open and convincing that this deployment will not in any way cause any weakness or loopholes on the collective defense systems of the NATO. As a result of all these [steps], we hope that in the future there will be a development that will not damage the friendship between Turkey and Sweden he said. Which all now seems a bit rich, given that the current leader, Recep Tayyip Erdoan, a self-avowed champion of the Muslim Brotherhood, has changed the constitution, rerun elections that didnt favor his political party, and led a crackdown on journalists and political dissenters, as well as a purge of thousands suspected of involvement in a failed 2016 coup. Turkish government circles expected that given his business background President Trump would be open to negotiations concerning the following disputes inherited from the Obama administration: the YPGs role in Syria, Fethullah Glens presence inthe United States, and the violation of Iran sanctions by Turkish banker Mehmet Hakan Attila. On balance, Turkeys contin Instigator / Con blamonkey 1677 rating 22 debates 93.18% won Topic #4317 On balance, Turkeys continued membership is beneficial to the North Atlantic Treaty Organization. This article generally discusses the importance of Turkey to NATO but highlights its role in supporting anti-terror cooperation and missile defense surveillance. 3- Turkey wanted to show that it rewards progress and it doesnt categorically and ideologically block Nordic countries, one person with knowledge said. In October 2017, the United States suspended the issuance ofvisas to Turkish citizens due to a dispute over the incarceration of US diplomatic personnel in Turkey. However the government would be inclined to approve it because they would like to make a fresh beginning with NATO and the west, he added. In particular, Turkey has violated the principles of the North Atlantic Treatys foreword and Article 2, in which NATO nations agree to promote stability and eliminate conflicts in international economic policies, in its interventionism in Syria, clashes with France and Greece, and its dealings with Russia. Unal Cevikoz, the chief advisor to Kilicdaroglu, said in various public speeches since last year that Kilicdaroglus Republican Peoples Party (CHP) principally supports Swedens membership to NATO. On this shaky ground, Turkey may not be able to maximize its interests through its relations with Russia. Senators Lindsey Graham and Chris Van Hollen are pushing bipartisan legislation to sanction Turkey over its Syria incursion; Graham has also floated suspending Turkey from NATO altogether. These concerns were well-founded, as Amnesty International reported cases of Turkish-backed militias perpetrating war crimes in the heavily Kurdish community of Afrin. However, Russia may manipulate the weapon system in a manner that is counter to Turkeys intentions. (Al Jeezera), Turkey-U.S. Relations: Timeline and Brief Historical Context, Turkey: U.S. Sanctions Under the Countering Americas Adversaries Through Sanctions Act (CAATSA), Turkey: Background and U.S. Relations In Brief (December 2021), Turkey: Background and U.S. Relations (November 2020), NATO schedules special meeting with Russia amid Ukraine crisis (Reuters), Turkey could tip the balance in the Ukraine-Russia standoff (Atlantic Council), Turkey Wont Confront Russia in Event of War in Ally Ukraine (Bloomberg), Why Is Turkey in NATO Anyway? Find out more in my very long-winded 2-hour lecture on YouTube. While not discounting the points of tension in Syria and Libya, the most glaring flashpoint for possible conflict is Turkey's enduring commitment to the defense of Azerbaijan against Armenia, through training Azerbaijani officers and supplying military equipment. NATO membership and our Truth is, we cant do much at Incirlik. Look again at the line-up: Turkey is the odd one out and the sole Nato member, ranged against a united bloc of its rivals. To be clear, Turkey has benefitted immensely from NATO membership. Later, the U.S. flew bombing raids on Iraq from Turkeys Incirlik Air Base during the 199091 Gulf War; in 2003, though, Turkey refused to station U.S. troops on its territory to attack Baghdad. Hence the questions now about whether the alliance is even worth it. Turkey, after all, is not the only discontented NATO member. This is a short article with a self-explanatory title. Do we really want to kick Turkey out of NATO and have its military power and strategic geography aligned with Russia? We need Turkeys permission to blow our nose there., On the Turkish side, too, the marriage has been one of serial disappointments and misunderstandings. (President Kennedy was able to avoid nuclear war with the Soviet Union and resolve the October 1962, Turkey joined the U.S. and NATO in bombing Bosnia during, Turkey joined the U.S. and NATO in bombing Serbia during. Greco-Turkish tensions in the Aegean almost erupted into war in the same year after Greek and Turkish frigates nearly collided over drilling disputes, forcing the U.S. to step in and push for de-escalation and negotiations. Status Debating Waiting for the next argument from the contender. As the fragility of Turkeys economy has become more apparent, the United States has relied on more severe measures. In other words: Erdogen may be willing to deal if he gets to tell the domestic electroate that we forced Sweden to deliver what he wanted. Its military was thoroughly shaped by NATOs culture, standards, and technology. By rejecting non-essential cookies, Reddit may still use certain cookies to ensure the proper functionality of our platform. He is the author of EMP Manhattan Project: Organizing For Survival Against An Electromagnetic Pulse Catastrophe (2018), The Long Sunday (2016), Blackout Wars (2015), Apocalypse Unknown (2014) and Electric Armageddon (2013). Even on the interests frontIncirlik Air Base has been central to U.S. counterterrorism efforts in the ISIS erahitches came up. ''Turkey is a valuable NATO ally,'' says NATO Chairman Candidate at the School of Diplomacy and International Relations at Seton Hall University, specializing in Foreign Policy and Post-Conflict Reconstruction. I am a beginner debater and I have briefs, Now move on to these Congressional Research Reports: Below are resources related to the current resolution: Can tensions between Turkey and NATO be contained? The Swedes themselves told the Turkish officials that they cannot do much until June 1, when the amendments enter into force, the person said. All hope would not be lost for Sotckholm, as Ulgen doesnt believe Erdogan would block Swedens membership forever, particualrly given how annoyed it has made other NATO allies and the risk of economic impact as a result, particuarlly from the US. Under Erdogan, Turkey has not been the easiest alliance member to work with. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten, or redistributed. The reason why all these well-known facts are cited in this column is the fact that a perception is snowballing that Turkey is an isolated member of the alliance. President Trump is right to try to accommodate Turkeys legitimate security interests on the Syrian border, while protecting the Kurds, in order to keep Turkey in NATO. Turkeys purchase of the S-400s is not the right path to pursue the intended outcome of strategic autonomy. It is the only NATO member state in the Middle East, bordering Syria and Iraq, near Lebanon and Israel, a region that has been and continues to be the crucial crossroads of empire and history since biblical times. Cevikoz said in a parliamentary address in March that his party respects the steps Sweden has taken to address Turkish concerns. Why is Turkeys NATO membership valuable? - Hrriyet It has fewer than 100 itself. This was the consequence of Turkey supporting Western values. As a sophisticated weapon system, the producer reserves the possibility to meddle with and hinder the use of the system. This may draw relevance away from Turkey, who previously provided airbases to support NATO forces in the region. Turkey is solely focused on US concerns about the risk of Russian radars spying on F35 aircraft. Your email address will not be published. Erdogan doubled down before the Sochi meetings: "It is not possible for us to turn back from the steps we took. Lastly, Turkey would not want to give up the NATO nuclear umbrella, given that some of its neighbors possess (Russia) or are striving for the capability of developing (Iran) nuclear weapons. This article argues NATO/Turkey support for Azerbaijan deters Russia in Azerbbaijan. The title is self-explanatory. @gmail.com. Some Washington experts would kick Turkey out of NATO for aggression against the Kurds, and make the latter Americas new Middle East ally. Turkey Dr. Peter Vincent Pry was chief of staff of the Congressional EMP Commission and served on the staff of the House Armed Services Committee and at the CIA. Below are resources related to the current resolution: Currently, there are also debates in Turkey about buying Russian Su35s or Su57s in case of the cancellation of F35 deliveries. Last but not least, Ankara should prioritize improving its image in the West by revisiting long-suspended democratization reforms. Although the article doesnt conclude that NATO would be better off without Turkey, it does argue that Turkey is currently undermining NATOs interests.